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Abstract:

This video by Peter Z details a significant strategic shift in Russia's prosecution of the Ukraine war. Russia has moved away from "mass meat assaults" towards small-scale ground infiltration and an intensified air campaign. The new air tactics involve saturating Ukrainian air defenses with hundreds of drones (many serving as decoys) alongside missiles, targeting urban infrastructure and logistics. This shift is partly influenced by increased Western military aid to Ukraine but is primarily driven by Russia's re-adoption of a World War II-era "Euro strategy." Having depleted most of its Soviet-era military stockpiles and previously relying on foreign-assembled drones, Russia is now establishing domestic production facilities behind the Urals to manufacture Iranian-designed Shahed drones (including more advanced, AI-capable versions) and assemble Chinese components. This newfound industrial autonomy enables a dramatically increased volume of drone attacks, complicating supply chain disruption efforts and resulting in greater damage to Ukrainian infrastructure.

Exploring Russia's Evolving War Strategy in Ukraine

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